Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.881202e-01 0.650552 0.837185 1.064169 1.329503 1.626770 1.981877
2025-02-16 2.153865e-01 0.383253 0.611112 0.926975 1.338098 1.840862 2.487811
2025-02-23 9.765531e-02 0.248007 0.493546 0.879586 1.430892 2.153568 3.136168
2025-03-02 3.735489e-02 0.155175 0.395623 0.826279 1.496974 2.430788 3.759326
2025-03-09 1.675211e-02 0.117907 0.370524 0.871550 1.701795 2.905792 4.669772
2025-03-16 4.767137e-03 0.079628 0.322708 0.863505 1.819457 3.262886 5.438147
2025-03-23 1.566996e-03 0.065568 0.320893 0.935691 2.068582 3.822442 6.510832
2025-03-30 2.339708e-04 0.051078 0.308863 0.983282 2.278422 4.332297 7.531557
2025-04-06 1.374477e-07 0.037013 0.287364 1.004522 2.441772 4.776678 8.471668
2025-04-13 NaN 0.022468 0.248531 0.975767 2.509757 5.072593 9.201915
2025-04-20 NaN 0.014900 0.228711 0.985501 2.646322 5.479923 10.106371
2025-04-27 NaN 0.009601 0.211549 0.996587 2.784037 5.892250 11.027409
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004141 0.176530 0.950187 2.807675 6.124692 11.694561
2025-05-11 NaN 0.001364 0.146722 0.907174 2.831788 6.357509 12.369098
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000456 0.132104 0.906970 2.944490 6.744735 13.293496
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000043 0.111642 0.877582 2.989509 7.015011 14.040141
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000014 0.114886 0.939115 3.242229 7.658484 15.392134
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.103602 0.938535 3.352617 8.052163 16.353345
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.111058 1.019411 3.657065 8.801488 17.898186
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.112078 1.072401 3.898616 9.443068 19.279605
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.106939 1.096353 4.072568 9.966540 20.478835
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.091726 1.066606 4.114551 10.249974 21.293223
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.085326 1.077366 4.255475 10.717991 22.415328